A calibration to properly design a model integrating residential mobility and migration in rural area

Une calibration pour une modélisation pertinente de la mobilité résidentielle et de la migration en zone rurale

Huet, S. ; Dumoulin, N. ; Deffuant, G.

Type de document
Chapitre d'ouvrage scientifique
Langue
Anglais
Affiliation de l'auteur
IRSTEA CLERMONT FERRAND UR LISC FRA ; IRSTEA CLERMONT FERRAND UR LISC FRA ; IRSTEA CLERMONT FERRAND UR LISC FRA
Année
2017
Résumé / Abstract
We propose a hybrid microsimulation and agent-based model of mobility integrating migration and residential mobility. We tested it on the evolution of the population of the Cantal, a French “département” with 150,000 inhabitants. We calibrated it using various data sources from 1990 to 2006, and tested its predictions on other data of the same period and on the period 2007-2012. The spatial heterogeneity of the evolution is well reproduced and the model makes surprisingly correct predictions despite numerous simplifying assumptions. From this calibration we learnt more about how to model residential mobility and migration considering an agent-based model approach.
Document d'origine
Advances in Social Simulation 2015, Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing 528
Editeur
Springer

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